When Real Estate Market Will Recover
Joe Battaglia
Housing Market
Article Content
Is the Housing Market Going to Recover Soon? What to Expect
The housing market has been on a wild ride over the last few years, marked by soaring prices, rising interest rates, and increasing anxiety for both buyers and sellers. After the pandemic-era boom gave way to a sharp correction, many people are asking the same critical question: When will the real estate market recover? As we move through 2025, it’s clear that the path to recovery will not be fast, but it will be gradual and steady, with clear opportunities for those who are prepared. Whether you’re actively looking or waiting on the sidelines, understanding the trends shaping this year’s market is essential.
If you’re considering a move in or around the Greater Toronto Area, Mississauga Homes is here to guide you. Our experienced Real Estate Agent Streetsville can help you understand how current mortgage rates, home prices, and inventory levels impact your buying or selling strategy. We provide tailored advice rooted in local market data, not guesswork. Whether you’re a first-time buyer or a seasoned investor, Mississauga Homes is committed to helping you make informed, confident decisions. Connect with us today to explore smart opportunities in Mississauga’s evolving real estate market.
Overview of Recent Housing Market Trends
U.S. Market Highlights
In the U.S., the pace of home price appreciation has slowed from pandemic highs, but prices remain historically elevated. According to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index, home prices rose 3.4% year-over-year in March 2025, a slight deceleration from the 4% reported in February. Despite this slowdown, the index hit a new all-time high, underscoring the stubborn nature of today’s affordability crisis. The key challenge isn’t just price growth—it’s the combination of high prices and high borrowing costs that continue to squeeze out many would-be buyers.
Canadian Market Highlights
In Canada, home values surged by 65% between 2020 and March 2022 before falling by 19% in the following year. As of the latest reports in 2025, prices remain 17% below that peak. Despite the Bank of Canada’s efforts to ease interest rates, market analysts like BMO’s Robert Kavcic suggest that prices are unlikely to recover to 2022 levels until around 2029. That may seem like a long way off, but history shows this type of extended recovery is common in Canadian real estate. For example, Toronto’s recovery from the early 1990s crash took over two decades in inflation-adjusted terms.
Mortgage Rates and Their Impact
U.S. Mortgage Rates Outlook
In the U.S., mortgage rates have hovered near 7% in early 2025. After dipping to 6.2% in late 2024, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rose back to 6.94% by May. Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate, notes that rates are expected to remain elevated due to continued economic growth, inflation concerns, and federal debt. This range—6% to 7%—makes it difficult for buyers to afford homes, especially in high-demand urban centers.
Canadian Perspective on Interest Rates
Canadian buyers are also facing higher-than-ideal borrowing costs. Although the Bank of Canada has begun cutting rates again, global trends suggest that interest rates will not return to the ultra-low levels of the post-2008 period. This normalization of bond yields means Canadians will likely be dealing with higher mortgage costs for years to come. As such, buyers must be financially strategic, especially in competitive suburban markets like Mississauga.
Housing Inventory and Supply Trends
Improvements in U.S. Inventory
Inventory levels in the U.S. have improved slightly, with a 4.4-month supply of homes available in April 2025—up more than 20% from the previous year. However, this remains below the 5–6 months considered ideal for a balanced market. Until more inventory becomes available, upward pressure on prices will persist.
Canadian Supply Constraints
In Canada, supply challenges remain critical, especially in high-growth urban zones. While new housing starts have picked up in some areas, rising costs due to labor shortages, tariffs on materials, and regulatory hurdles continue to limit new construction. These constraints make Mississauga Homes’ local market expertise even more valuable, helping buyers identify viable opportunities in an otherwise tight market.
Buyer and Seller Behavior
Sluggish Home Sales in the U.S.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that existing-home sales in the U.S. declined by 2% year-over-year in April 2025. Despite strong job growth nationwide, many potential buyers remain cautious, waiting for rates to drop or for prices to correct further. This hesitation has kept overall activity well below pre-pandemic levels, even as demand continues to build.
Canadian Buyer Demand Trends
In Canada, demand dynamics are shifting as Millennials—once the core engine of the housing boom—enter their late 30s and 40s. Their desire for larger homes is slowing, while reduced immigration is further softening demand. Government restrictions and slower population growth are expected to limit the rapid gains seen during the pandemic, reinforcing a more tempered outlook for the years ahead.
Regional Affordability and Opportunities
Despite national trends, regional opportunities remain for savvy buyers. In Canada, Mississauga Homes offers excellent value for those seeking suburban convenience, urban accessibility, and long-term equity growth. As one of the GTA’s most stable and desirable communities, Mississauga continues to attract buyers who are priced out of central Toronto or looking for more space without sacrificing amenities. Whether you’re eyeing a family home, condo, or investment property, Mississauga represents a balanced and strategic option in an otherwise unpredictable market.
When Will the Real Estate Market Recover?
The answer depends on where you live and what you define as a recovery. In the U.S., a return to normalcy may occur as mortgage rates eventually ease and inventory continues to build. In Canada, full price recovery to 2022 levels is not expected until 2029, according to BMO. Key factors that must improve for any substantial recovery include:
- A significant increase in available housing inventory
- Mortgage rates sare tabilizing below 6%
- Steady wage growth
- Renewed immigration momentum
- Confidence in long-term market stability
When Will the Housing Market Crash Again?
A crash similar to the 2008 financial crisis is highly unlikely in today’s market. Homeowners are more financially resilient, with many having strong equity positions or owning their homes outright. In the U.S., tight inventory continues to support prices, while in Canada, the conditions resemble the 1990s more than the global crash of 2008. While the market may remain slow and uneven, a deep, widespread collapse is not on the horizon.
What to Expect in 2025 and Beyond
The housing market in 2025 is a study in contrasts: high prices versus cooling demand, cautious optimism versus economic headwinds. While the frenzied pace of the past is unlikely to return anytime soon, this period of stabilization presents a unique window for buyers and sellers who understand the new rules of engagement. Mississauga Homes remains committed to guiding clients through this evolving landscape with local insight, real-time data, and unmatched personal service.
The road to recovery is long, but the opportunities are real. If you’re considering a move in Mississauga, trust the professionals who know the market best. Contact Mississauga Homes today to begin your real estate journey with confidence.
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